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Get ready for the L-bomb: A preliminary social assessment of longevity technology
Authors:Roland H. Ebel  William Wagoner  Henry F. Hrubecky
Abstract:The societal impacts upon various sectors of the United States population resulting from the retardation of the cellular aging process in men and women is the subject of this study. Significant biomedical research advances of recent years, as well as future fruitful areas of bio-science exploration in genetic programming, parabiosis, vitamin therapy, body temperature control, calorie quality and quantity intake, and the control of free radicals in body compounds, indicate the life span of the present generation may be expanded by a considerable number of years. The potential impact upon various sectors of our societal structure and institutions would be enormous. This study proposes to evaluate and assess the impact of the resultant population alteration upon seven major social variables (employment, income, resource consumption, education, the social service load, social institutions, and legal problems). This will be analyzed over a number of ten year time segments.The study will attempt to determine the effects of longevity technology upon the social impact variables within the framework of five basic working lifetime scenarios as follows: (1) normal working lifetime, (2) extended working lifetime, (3) delayed working lifetime, (4) segmented working lifetime, and (5) divided working lifetime. Two computer models of the United States—a demographic and an econometric—will be used to systematically measure the implications of these scenarios for the social impact variables.
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