世界大豆贸易格局的演变及对我国的启示

20世纪80年代以后,世界大豆出口市场上形成美国、巴西与阿根廷的寡头垄断格局,我国由1996年前的净出口国和最大生产国之一转为如今世界最大的净进口国。本文对这种贸易格局的演变和原因以及这些寡头的策略行为进行了分析,并针对我国长期与短期策略选择进行了探讨。

Analysis on the Structural Changes in the World Soybean Market and China's Strategies

In the 1980s,it's evident that the United States,Brazil and Argentina were the three largest exporters in the world soybean market. Meanwhile,China,one of the former net exporters and the largest producer before 1996,has gradually become the biggest soybean importer in the world today. This paper mainly tries to investigate how the world soybean market has been changed,why the three exporters have become the oligopolies,and how they have behaved. The long-run and short-run strategies China should choose are also discussed.