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进口贸易与广东经济增长的动态传递机制——基于需求结构联立方程模型的分析
引用本文:郭锦.进口贸易与广东经济增长的动态传递机制——基于需求结构联立方程模型的分析[J].国际经贸探索,2011(5).
作者姓名:郭锦
作者单位:广东外语外贸大学公开学院;
基金项目:广东外语外贸大学文科基地重点课题(广外科2010年2号)
摘    要:文章依据凯恩斯宏观总量模型建立一个包括投资、消费、进出口的联立方程组,系统地对广东省进口和经济增长之间的动态反馈效应做了分析,结果表明进口通过与投资、消费、贸易领域的互动效应引致经济增长,进口对广东省GDP增长的拉动度和贡献率平均为11.70%和4.23%。

关 键 词:进口贸易  经济增长  需求结构  联立方程  

The Dynamic Transmission Mechanism of Import on Economic Growth in Guangdong:An Analysis Based on the Equation System Model of Demand Structure
GUO Jin.The Dynamic Transmission Mechanism of Import on Economic Growth in Guangdong:An Analysis Based on the Equation System Model of Demand Structure[J].International Economics and Trade Research,2011(5).
Authors:GUO Jin
Institution:GUO Jin(Guangdong University of Foreign Studies,Guangzhou 510420,China)
Abstract:Based on Keynes macro total model,this paper establishes the equation system model which composes investment,consumption,and import & export trading,and makes a systemic analysis of the dynamic feedback effect between import and the economic growth of Guangdong Province.It testifies that import will lead to an economic growth through interacting with fields of investment,consumption,and trade.Import trade has a magnificent effect on the GDP growth of Guangdong Province,with a pull degree of 11.70% and a con...
Keywords:import  economic growth  demand structure  equation system model  
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