中国城市化与经济增长的省际差异分析

采用聚类分析方法、相关分析方法和回归分析方法,对我国省际城市化水平与经济增长水平的差异进行定量分析,得出以下结论:总体来看,经济发展水平与城市化水平有着较密切的正相关关系;个别地区(如广东)的经济发展水平并不完全与城市化发展水平相适应,经济的发展是由其他因素促成的;天津的城市化水平已经接近极限,而北京和上海的城市化水平仍然有进一步发展的空间;对于落后地区来说,发展经济的重要性更重于狂热地进行城市化.

A difference analysis to Chinese urbanization and economic growth

This paper quantitatively analyses the provincial difference of urbanization and economic growth with methods of cluster analysis,correlation analysis and regression analysis.The conclusions are put forward as follow: firstly,there are closely positive correlativity between economic growth and urbanization.Secondly,economic growth is not completely adapt to urbanization in particular provinces,such as Guangdong Province,and there must be other factors which lead to economic growth.Thirdly,the urbanization of Tianjin is approximated to its maximum,but there are still some spaces for that of Shanghai and Beijing's.Finally,it is much more important for developing provincial economy than to accelerate urbanization unreasonably.