| 基于灰色预测模型的铁路客运量预测研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 王慧晶.基于灰色预测模型的铁路客运量预测研究[J].铁道运输与经济,2006,28(6):79-81. |
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| 作者姓名： | 王慧晶 |
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| 作者单位： | 湖南铁路科技职业技术学院,运输系,湖南,株洲,412000 |
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| 摘 要： | 在介绍灰色预测基本原理和算法的基础上,应用灰色预测理论开发了基于MATLAB的铁路客运量预测程序,主要功能是以交互的方式输入数据,动态输出显示模型曲线图形和方程。通过建立株洲站旅客发送量的灰色预测模型,说明利用灰色模型预测铁路客运量具有良好的精度,可以为客流组织提供依据。
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| 关 键 词： | 灰色预测模型 铁路 客运量 预测 株洲站 |
| 文章编号： | 1003-1421(2006)06-0079-02 |
| 收稿时间： | 2005-11-30 |
| 修稿时间： | 2006-03-27 |
Research on Railway Traffic Volume Forecast Based on Grey Forecast Model |
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| WANG Hui-jing.Research on Railway Traffic Volume Forecast Based on Grey Forecast Model[J].Rail Way Transport and Economy,2006,28(6):79-81. |
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| Authors: | WANG Hui-jing |
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| Institution: | Transportation Department, Hunan Railway College of Science and Technology, Zhuzhou, Hunan 412000, China |
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| Abstract: | The essay introduces the principle and calculation method of grey forecast model and meanwhile, applies its theory to develop passenger traffic volume forecast program based on MATLAB. The major functions of the program include inputting data with interactive mode and dynamically outputting and displaying curve figures and equations. The establishment of grey forecast model in Zhuzhou Station has shown better accuracy while forecasting the passenger volume and thus offered reference for passenger flow organization. |
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| Keywords: | Grey Forecast Model Railway Passenger Traffic Volume Forecast Zhuzhou Station |
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