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The speed of stock price discovery
Affiliation:1. Department of Finance, New York University Stern School of Business, 44 West 4th St., #9-84, New York, NY 10012, United States;2. CEPR, United Kingdom;3. NBER, United States;4. Federal Reserve Bank of New York, 33 Liberty Street, New York, NY 10045, United States
Abstract:We develop closed-form expressions for the path and speed of stock price discovery in a utility-based CAPM with wealth effects. Two investors with uniquely bounded risk-preferences always apply opposite portfolio rebalancing trades. These trades determine the intra-period path and speed of price discovery in a Walrasian, tâtonnement setup. While conditions for maximum speed exist, convergence is rapid over a wide range of endowments and preferences. Convergence to equilibrium is exponential, and its speed depends on endowments, risk-preferences, firm size, and market price for risk. Convergence is not guaranteed, and the conditions for divergence are specified.
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