Income Stabilization For B.C. Hog Producers

The objective of this paper is to estimate the costs and effects of federal and provincial government programs designed to stabilize the incomes of B.C. hog producers. Simulation was used to provide these estimates. This involved building a mathematical model of the B.C. hog industry, including important supplyldemand relationships and the operating characteristics of alternative stabilization schemes. Successive runs of the model were made, each assuming operation of a different stabilization scheme. Results are presented for the current Agricultural Stabilization Act and a guaranteed margin approach (federal) and the B.C. Swine Producers' Income Assurance Program (provincial).
L'Objectif de cet article est d'bvaluer les couts et les effets des programmes provinciaw et fkdtraux destints il stabdiser les revenus des producteurs porcins de la Colombie Britanique. Ces evaluations one ttt obtenues par simulation. Ceci a nktssitt la construction d'un modMe mathtmatique du secteur du porc de la Colombie Britanique, comprenant d'une part des relations d'offre/demand et d'autre part les caracttristiques operationnelles des divers plans de stabilisation. En supposant A chaque fois I'application d'une plan difftrent de stabilisation, des simulaitons successives one Ctt entreprises pour I'actuel plan ftdtral de Stabilisation (Agricultural Stabilization Act), le plan fedtral de marge guarantie. et le programme provincial actuellement utilist en Colombie Britanique (B.C. Swine Producers Income Assurance Program).