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Foreign Direct Investment and Trade: A Causality Analysis
Authors:Bajo-Rubio  Oscar  Montero-Muñoz  María
Institution:(1) Departamento de Economía, Universidad Pública de Navarra, 31006 Pamplona, Spain;(2) Departamento de Fundamentos da Anamacrlise Economacrmica, Universidade de Vigo, 36200 Vigo, Spain
Abstract:In this article, we analyze the relationship between outward foreign direct investment (FDI) and exports, using Spanish quarterly data for the period 1977–1998, by means of Granger causality tests in a cointegration framework. Our results point to the existence of a relationship of complementarity between both variables, with Granger causality running in the short run from outward FDI to exports, and bilateral Granger causality in the long run.
Keywords:foreign direct investment  exports  Granger causality
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