四川省成品油市场研究及预测

四川是我国西部地区经济大省，2000年以来，其成品油需求随着经济的发展而高速增长，消费弹性先升后降，消费强度逐年下降。“十二五”期间，预计全省成品油需求仍将保持较快增长，但增速将逐年降低，2015年成品油消费量或将超过1000万吨；需求柴汽比开始由升转降。从供应格局看，中国石油和中国石化分别是四川成品油市场的主、辅供应商，社会经营单位和地方炼厂起补充作用。从运输方式上看，主要依赖铁路和管道，公路和水路运输比例较小。为了提高未来的成品油供应安全程度，建议四川省积极转变经济增长方式，加强石油储备体系建设，加快铁路网和成品油分支管线网络建设，同时大力发展“油改气”与生物燃料等替代能源。

Research and forecast of product oil market in Sichuan province

As a major economic province in the western region of China,Sichuan has experienced a rapid growth in product oil demand with the economic development,a consumption elasticity declining after rising and annually dropping consumption strength since 2000.It is estimated that Sichuan will witness a relatively rapid growth in the demand of product oil during the12th Five-Year Planperiod but with a growth rate declined year by year,the consumption of product oil may exceed 10,000,000 tons by 2015 and the ratio o...