| 云南经济增长与各需求因素增长的动态均衡关系研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 马云玲.云南经济增长与各需求因素增长的动态均衡关系研究[J].云南财贸学院学报,2006,22(5):68-73. |
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| 作者姓名： | 马云玲 |
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| 作者单位： | 云南财经大学统计与信息学院 云南昆明650221 |
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| 摘 要： | 利用EViews计量工具和运用时间序列动态分析方法,在云南省1978～2003年的宏观经济数据的基础上,通过对经济变量的走势分析、平稳性检验、协整性检验,并对模型进行估计,建立了国内生产总值、消费,投资,出口四个变量之间的长期均衡关系和短期均衡关系,得出云南省是消费拉动型经济的结论,揭示了消费对于云南经济增长的重要意义。
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| 关 键 词： | 经济增长 国内生总值 时间序列 协整 检验 |
| 文章编号： | 1007-5585（2006）05-0068-06 |
| 收稿时间： | 2006-04-12 |
| 修稿时间： | 2006-04-12 |
Research on the Dynamic Equivalence between Economic Growth and Demand Factor Growth in Yunnan Province |
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| MA Yun-ling.Research on the Dynamic Equivalence between Economic Growth and Demand Factor Growth in Yunnan Province[J].Journal of Yunnan Finance and Trade Institute,2006,22(5):68-73. |
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| Authors: | MA Yun-ling |
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| Institution: | Faculty of Statistics and Information Technology, Yunnan University of Finance and Economics, Kunming 650221, China |
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| Abstract: | By using the measurement tool of Eviews and the dynamic analyzing method of time sequence, the author sets up long - term and short - term equivalent relationships between the variations of GDP, expense, investment, and export through the analysis of the change of economic variations, stability test, co - integration test, and the evaluation of models based on the macroeconomy of Yunnan province from 1978 to 2003. The author gets the conclusion s that the economy of Yunnan province belongs to consumptive stipulation which discovers the importance of expense to the province. |
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| Keywords: | Economic Growth GDP Time Sequence Co - integration Test Test |
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