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Estimation of tourism demand by multivariable regression analysis Evidence from Kenya
Authors:Rebecca Summary
Institution:1. Department of Biomedical Engineering, Imam Reza International University, Mashhad, Razavi Khorasan, Iran;2. Graduated from Department of Biomedical Engineering, Faculty of Electrical Engineering, Sahand University of Technology, Tabriz, Iran;1. Departamento de Química, Universidade Federal do Paraná, Centro Politécnico, CP 19081, CEP 81531-980 Curitiba, PR, Brazil;2. Departamento de Ciências Biológicas, Faculdade de Ciências Farmacêuticas, Univ. Estadual Paulista, CEP: 14800-900 Araraquara, SP, Brazil;3. Departamento de Química, Universidade Federal de Santa Maria, CEP 97105-900 Santa Maria, RS, Brazil
Abstract:Between 1963 and 1982, tourism was one of the top three domestic exports of Kenya. Knowledge of the variables which significantly Influence Kenyan tourism demand could help tourism policy makers in planning growth strategies. The results of this study indicate that multivariable regression analysis has limited usefulness in identifying the significant factors which influence tourists' decisions. Data problems and resulting multicollinearity cause unsuitable results in one case, while model specification appears to be a problem in another. The author concludes that quantitative studies should be supplemented by qualitative analysis in order for Kenyan policymakers to make optimal decisions.
Keywords:Kenya  tourism demand  regression analysis
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