农产品价格变动对农民收入的影响研究

文章基于2004—2008年的省际面板数据，采用动态面板模型的GMM方法，实证检验农产品价格变动对农民收八的影响。实证结果发现，由于农业收入在农民收入来源中比重下降，以及农业生产成本提高和投机因素的存在，农民并没有从农产品价格上涨中显著获益，农产品价格上涨未能显著带动农民收入提高。而农民的打工收入，尤其是通过加工贸易出口获取非农就业机会实现的非农收入，是农民收入增长的显著推动力量。

The Impacts of the Price Changes of Agricultural Product to Peasants' Income

The article has done the empirical study on the impacts of the prince changes of agricultural product to peasant income based on the panel data between provinces from 2004 to 2008 by the panel model of GMM method.According to the article,the rise of agricultural products price cannot make peasant income grow up significantly.And the income from out work,especially the income from the work of process,trade and export,is the main power of the growth of peasant income.The reasons are as follows: at first,the w...