| 广西第三产业发展与就业增长关系的协整研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 史常亮,金彦平. 广西第三产业发展与就业增长关系的协整研究[J]. 广西经济管理干部学院学报, 2010, 22(4): 72-76 |
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| 作者姓名： | 史常亮 金彦平 |
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| 作者单位： | 北京林业大学,经济管理学院,北京,100083;北京林业大学,经济管理学院,北京,100083 |
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| 摘 要： | 通过利用广西1978～2008年的统计数据资料,对广西第三产业的发展与就业的增长进行了协整研究。结果显示,它们之间存在着长期均衡关系,第三产业GDP每增长1%,长期来看将带动广西第三产业就业增加1.5042%。文章还利用误差修正模型,分析了广西第三产业发展与其就业量之间的短期波动及其调整机制。
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| 关 键 词： | 第三产业 就业效应 协整 误差修正模型 |
Co-Integration Analysis of Tertiary Industry Development and Employment Growth of Guangxi |
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| SHI Chang-liang,JIN Yan-ping. Co-Integration Analysis of Tertiary Industry Development and Employment Growth of Guangxi[J]. The Journal of Guangxi Economic Management Cadre College, 2010, 22(4): 72-76 |
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| Authors: | SHI Chang-liang JIN Yan-ping |
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| Affiliation: | 1.Economy and Management School,Beijing Forestry University,Beijing 100083,China) |
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| Abstract: | We did an empirical research on tertiary industry development and employment growth of Guangxi according to the co integration theory,using the annual data from 1978 to 2008.We found that there was long-term equilibrium relationship between tertiary industry development and employment growth of Guangxi;in the long-term,employment in Guangxi goes up by 1.5042% as GDP increases 1%.We also used the error correction model to investigate the shot-term fluctuation and its adjusting mechanism between tertiary industry development and employment growth of Guangxi. |
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| Keywords: | tertiary industry employment effects co integration error correction model |
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