| 农民消费行为实证研究:1978年—2007年——来自预防性储蓄理论的解释 |
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| 引用本文： | 张璇,徐会奇,李辉.农民消费行为实证研究:1978年—2007年——来自预防性储蓄理论的解释[J].石家庄经济学院学报,2010,33(2):89-93. |
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| 作者姓名： | 张璇 徐会奇 李辉 |
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| 作者单位： | 青岛大学国际商学院,山东,青岛,266071 |
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| 摘 要： | 以随机游走假说为理论切入点,推导出一个包含消费惯性的预防性储蓄模型,分析农民的储蓄动机,并通过1978年—2007年的宏观数据对其进行实证检验。研究表明,修正后的预防性储蓄模型对现阶段我国农民的消费行为具有较强的解释力。
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| 关 键 词： | 农民消费 预防性储蓄 不确定性 |
An Empirical Study on Famer's Consumption Behavior from 1978 to 2007: Review from Precautionary Saving Theory |
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| ZHANG Xuan,XU Hui-qi,LI Hui.An Empirical Study on Famer's Consumption Behavior from 1978 to 2007: Review from Precautionary Saving Theory[J].Journal of Shijiazhuang University of Economics,2010,33(2):89-93. |
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| Authors: | ZHANG Xuan XU Hui-qi LI Hui |
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| Institution: | (Qingdao University,Qingdao,Shandong 266071) |
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| Abstract: | In this paper,a precautionary saving model containing consumer inertia is deduced from a theoretical starting point of random walk hypothesis.It is employed to analyze farmer′s saving motives.The macro-level data between the years from 1978 to 2007 are used for empirical tests.Studies show that the revised precautionary saving model has the stronger power to explain the consumption behaviors of China′s farmers at the present stage.Based on this,this paper concludes some relevant policy recommendations. |
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| Keywords: | farmer′s consumption precautionary saving uncertainty |
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