外部需求冲击对中国出口的影响

中国经济增长的特殊模式使得其容易受到外部经济表现的影响,其中外需冲击是重要的渠道。实证结果表明,中国出口一方面为外部需求所拉动,另一方面其竞争力体现为成本优势。在前期出口成本上升和目前中国的主要出口市场相继进入衰退的情况下,为稳定出口增长,中国应在短期适度回调出口退税率和稳定人民币升值幅度,在长期致力于技术进步。

THE EFFECTS OF FOREIGN DEMAND SHOCKS ON CHINA'S EXPORTS

China's unique economic growth model renders it vulnerable to adverse changes in external economic environment,with foreign demand shock being an important channel.Empirical results from this study demonstrate that on one hand China's exports were driven by foreign demand,and on the other hand the competitiveness of China's exports depended on its cost advantages.Given the recent rises in its export costs and the economic downturn occurring in its major export markets,in order to stabilize its export growth...