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Commodity price stabilisation: macroeconomic impacts and policy options
Authors:Chinna A Kannapiran
Institution:Research School of Pacific and Asian Studies, Australian National University, Canberra, ACT, Australia
Abstract:A macroeconometric simulation study is undertaken to evaluate the impact of commodity price stabilisation (CPS) schemes for the export tree crop industry in Papua New Guinea. The findings suggest that there is a negligible level of favourable macroeconomic impacts of CPS. Contrary to the expectation, CPS adversely affects the stability of monetary and external sectors (BOP). CPS policy has failed to stabilise the macroeconomy. The price stabilisation policies are no longer appropriate from the macroeconomic point of view. Technical change, futures market and rural savings are the possible alternative policy options to manage the price risk.
Keywords:Commodity price stabilisation  Macroeconomy  Tree crop exports
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