| FDI与区域经济增长的实证研究——基于天津经济技术开发区数据的计量检验 |
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| 引用本文： | 刘海燕,刘敬远. FDI与区域经济增长的实证研究——基于天津经济技术开发区数据的计量检验[J]. 国际商务-(对外经济贸易大学学报), 2009, 0(6) |
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| 作者姓名： | 刘海燕 刘敬远 |
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| 作者单位： | 南开大学周恩来政府管理学院;燕山大学里仁学院; |
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| 摘 要： | 文章利用1986-2008年天津经济技术开发区FDI与GDP、出口、工业总产值、工业产品销售收入、从业人数5个主要经济指标相关数据,运用单位根检验、协整检验以及格兰杰因果检验计量经济学方法,对FDI与天津开发区经济增长的关系进行了实证研究。结果发现,FDI与天津开发区除出口外的经济指标存在长期的均衡关系,但从长期来看,FDI不是促进天津开发区各经济指标增长的原因,但这并不意味着说,长远来看,开发区不应当引进FDI,因为FDI还有可能通过促进产业升级等间接效应来促进各经济指标的增长。
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| 关 键 词： | FDI 经济增长 协整检验 格兰杰检验 |
Empirical Analysis on FDI and Regional Economic Growth:Based on Quantitative Test of Data from Tianjin Economic Development Zone |
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| LIU Hai-yan LIU Jing-yuan. Empirical Analysis on FDI and Regional Economic Growth:Based on Quantitative Test of Data from Tianjin Economic Development Zone[J]. International Business, 2009, 0(6) |
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| Authors: | LIU Hai-yan LIU Jing-yuan |
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| Affiliation: | LIU Hai-yan LIU Jing-yuan |
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| Abstract: | Based on the data of five main economic indicators,including FDI,GDP,Export,Gross industry output,industry business and employment number from Tianjin development zone during 1986-2008,this paper attempts to examine the correlation between FDI inflowing and Tianjin development zone's economic growth empirically by the ADF test,Co-integration analysis as well as Granger test.The paper finds that there exists a steady long-term equilibrium relationship between FDI and the main economic indicators except expor... |
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| Keywords: | FDI Economic growth ADF test Granger test |
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