Dynamic effects of public investment: Vector autoregressive evidence from six industrialized countries |
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Authors: | Stefan Mittnik Thorsten Neumann |
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Institution: | (1) Institute of Statistics and Econometrics, Christian Albrechts University at Kiel, Olshausenstr. 40, D-24098 Kiel, Germany (e-mail mittnik@stat-econ.uni-kiel.de), DE |
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Abstract: | We analyze the dynamic relationship between public investment and output. Whereas existing empirical studies on the effects
of public capital typically rely on single-equation models of the private sector, we investigate the role of public investment
in an economy by examining impulse responses derived from vector autoregressions. Using data from six industrial countries,
we specifically examine the following questions: does higher public investment lead to GDP increases; is there reverse causation
from output to public investment; and what are the effects of expenditure-neutral budget shifts from public consumption to
public investment.
First version received: April 1999/Final version accepted: August 2000 |
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Keywords: | : Fiscal Policy Public Investment Vector Autoregression Impulse Response Analysis |
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