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论中国现阶段的赤字率和债务率及其警戒线
引用本文:刘迎秋.论中国现阶段的赤字率和债务率及其警戒线[J].经济研究,2001(8).
作者姓名:刘迎秋
作者单位:中国社会科学院科研局!100372
摘    要:论证和说明中国现阶段的赤字率和债务率及其警戒线 ,是本文展开分析的主题。围绕这个主题 ,作者首先分析和阐明了“三部门”经济条件下的债务—赤字模型 ;然后对中国均衡的和动态均衡赤字率和债务率的决定进行了理论分析 ;最后 ,在债务—赤字模型基础上 ,借鉴欧盟经验 ,通过实证分析 ,论证和揭示了与中国现阶段国民经济发展相适应的赤字率和债务率及其警戒线

关 键 词:马约  预算恒等式  赤字率  债务率  警戒线

On Deficit Rate and Debt Rate and Their Boundaries in China
Abstract:To analyze and explain the deficit rate and debt rate and their boundaries in China's current development stage is the main subject of this paper.Around this subject,the author first analyzed the real reference meaning of the gauges of “deficit debt”mentioned by the Maastricht Treaty and then brought up a viewpoint of using them for reference but being unable to transcribe them into the practice.Then the author expounded the debt deficit models under“three sectors” economic condition,and based on these the author analyzed and illuminated the equilibrium deficit rate and equilibrium debt rate and dynamic ones.Finally,the author depending on the debt deficit model and using the experiences of European Union for reference to analyze and post the deficit rate and debt rate and their boundaries that are adaptable to China's current national economic development stage.
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