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The Global Preference for Dividends in Declining Markets
Authors:Michael A. Goldstein  Abhinav Goyal  Brian M. Lucey  Cal B. Muckley
Affiliation:1. Babson College;2. University of Liverpool;3. Trinity College DublinUniversity of Ljubljana;4. University College Dublin
Abstract:Investors globally prefer dividend‐paying stocks over nondividend‐paying stocks more in declining than in advancing markets, even accounting for firm‐level growth opportunities, size and risk effects. Dividend‐paying stocks outperform nondividend‐paying stocks, from 0.63% (China) to 3.79% (Canada) more per month in declining than in advancing markets. In declining markets, dividend‐paying firms outperform by more than any underperformance in advancing markets. The results are robust across dividend taxation regimes, legal environments, emerging and developed markets, periods prior to and after the 2008 global financial crisis, the exclusion of the dividend declaration month and in respect to segmented or integrated international capital markets.
Keywords:dividend policy  market movement  G‐7  BRICS  F3  G35
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