Measurement of power,probabilities, and alternative models of man |
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Authors: | Manfred J Holler Hannu Nurmi |
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Institution: | 1.Institute of Socio Economics,University of Hamburg,Hamburg,Germany;2.Public Choice Research Centre (PCRC),Turku,Finland;3.Public Choice Research Centre and Department of Political Science,University of Turku,Turku,Finland |
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Abstract: | Starting from Max Weber’s definitions of power we discuss the meaning of his concept Chance and its relationships to the probabilistic notions that play a central role in definitions of indices of measuring voting
power. Using Martin Hollis’s distinction between two models of man—plastic and autonomous—we argue that the common measures
of voting power when interpreted in terms of probabilities seem to be in better conformity with the model of plastic man than
with the model of autonomous man. The paper elaborates on the probability interpretation with applications to the modelling
of power measures with a priori unions and to the concept of “real voting power” based on relative frequencies of historical
events. Power as potential—which in our view is what Weber very likely meant—remains an elusive concept, but one that should
be amenable to game-theoretic analysis. |
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