中国对欧盟农产品出口增长的影响因素分析

加入世贸组织以来,我国农产品对欧盟的出口增长速度明显加快。本文运用恒定市场份额模型,重点探讨了我国农产品对欧盟出口的特点及出口增长的影响因素。研究表明,我国农产品对欧盟出口的增长,部分来自于欧盟对世界农产品进口需求的增加,部分是由于我国近年农产品的出口竞争力明显增强引致的,此外我国出口商品的构成效应也做出了积极的贡献。为了扩大对欧盟出口,中国需要进一步调整出口商品结构,提高农产品的出口竞争力。

The Influential Factors of China''''s Agricultural Export to EU

After its entry into WTO,China has speeded up its agricultural export to EU.By using the Constant Market Share(CMS)Model,this paper discusses the influential factors of agricultural export from China to EU.The results show that the increase of China's agricultural export to EU comes partly from the enlargement of market scale in EU itself,partly from the improvement of China's export competitiveness.In the meantime,the composition of the commodity also produces positive effect.In order to promote China's agricultural export to EU,on the one hand,China should further adjust the export structure of agricultural products;and on the other hand,China should improve export competitiveness of agricultural products.