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Continuous-time modelling of irregularly spaced panel data using a cubic spline model
Authors:Sy-Miin Chow  Guangjian Zhang†
Institution:University of North Carolina, CB#3270 Davie Hall, Chapel Hill, NC 27599-3270, USA;
University of Notre Dame, 108 Haggar Hall, Notre Dame, IN 46556-5611, USA
Abstract:Continuous-time modelling remains a somewhat 'idealized' representation tool. Even though conceptualizing a dynamic process as a continuous process has clear appeal from a theoretical standpoint, practical tools that allow researchers to effectively map an idealized continuous model onto a set of discrete-time observed data are still lacking observed data. Irregularly spaced longitudinal data frequently arise in empirical settings because of the prevalence of longitudinal studies with partially randomized measurement intervals and other related designs. We present a practical approach that capitalizes on a nonparametric spline interpolation approach to impute the gaps in irregularly spaced panel data. Simulated and empirical examples are provided to demonstrate the applicability of the proposed approach to studies of group-based dynamics using panel data.
Keywords:stochastic differential equation  state-space modelling  Kalman filter  smoothing  exact discrete time  panel data
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