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Transmisión de precios futuros de maíz del Chicago Board of Trade al mercado spot mexicano
Authors:Francisco Ortiz Arango  Alma Nelly Montiel Guzmán
Institution:1. Universidad Panamericana, México;2. Instituto Politécnico Nacional, México
Abstract:In Mexico, the use of currency hedging program from the Agency Services for Marketing and Agricultural Market Development (ASERCA) is an instrument that has been used by producers of corn (mostly white), for the acquisition of derivatives in the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT), whose underlying is yellow corn quality US#2. In an environment of high volatility in corn prices, CBOT prices should be adjusted with domestic spot prices to encourage Mexican producers to participate in the program, but through an analysis of multivariate stochastic volatility during the period 2007 to 2012, it showed that the market price of corn futures is not closely related to those recorded prices in some country states, so we can infer that the coverage by ASERCA program does not adequately serves the purpose of protecting domestic farmers growing white corn, although their use has increased.
Keywords:C32  D52  G13  Q14  C32  D52  G13  Q14  Precios de maíz  Chicago Board of Trade  Volatilidad estocástica multivariante  Corn prices  Chicago Board of Trade  Multivariate stochastic volatility
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