| 中国煤矿安全规制效果实证研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 肖兴志,齐鹰飞,李红娟. 中国煤矿安全规制效果实证研究[J]. 中国工业经济, 2008, 0(5) |
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| 作者姓名： | 肖兴志 齐鹰飞 李红娟 |
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| 作者单位： | 东北财经大学产业组织与企业组织研究中心;东北财经大学富虹经济学院;东北财经大学产业组织与企业组织研究中心 辽宁大连;辽宁大连; |
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| 基金项目： | 教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地重大项目“中国煤矿安全规制研究”(批准号06JJD630002); 国家社会科学基金项目“中国垄断产业规制效果的评价研究”(批准号07BJY011); 教育部新世纪优秀人才支持计划项目“安全规制理论与政策研究”(批准号NCET-05-0298) |
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| 摘 要： | 本文在煤矿安全规制效果理论分析基础上,采用VAR模型实证检验中国煤矿安全规制效果。研究结果表明,中国煤矿安全规制在长期是有效的,体现在长期可以显著降低煤炭百万吨死亡率。但是,这种有效性在短期内会被煤矿工人的逆向行为所抵消,从而意味着规制机构在煤矿安全规制中面临短期效果和长期效果之间的权衡。实证分析还发现,煤炭产量增加在短期内会降低煤炭百万吨死亡率,而在长期则会提高煤炭百万吨死亡率。在上述实证结果基础上,本文提出了改善中国煤矿安全规制效果的政策建议。
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| 关 键 词： | 煤矿安全规制 规制效果 Peltzman效应 |
An Empirical Study on Effects of Coal Mine Safety Regulation in China |
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| XIAO Xing-zhi,,QI Ying-fei,LI Hong-juan. An Empirical Study on Effects of Coal Mine Safety Regulation in China[J]. China Industrial Economy, 2008, 0(5) |
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| Authors: | XIAO Xing-zhi QI Ying-fei LI Hong-juan |
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| Affiliation: | XIAO Xing-zhi1,2,QI Ying-fei2,LI Hong-juan1(1.Center for Industrial , Business Organization DUFE,Dalian 116025,China,2.Fuhong School of Economics DUFE,China) |
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| Abstract: | The paper mainly analyses effects of coal mine safety regulation in China based on VAR model.The results show that it is effective in long term for coal mine safety regulation which can be represented by large reduction on mortality rate per million tons.However,the effectiveness may be offset by the artificial adverse behavior in short term so that there are some trade-offs between long term and short term effects facing regulatory institutions.Furthermore,it is found by our empirical study that increase o... |
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| Keywords: | coal mine safety regulation regulatory effects Peltzman effect |
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