银行信贷、货币供应与经济增长的模型关系检验

以我国银行信贷余额、货币供应和经济增长作为研究对象,通过构建长短期方程找出三者之间的关系,同时进行格兰杰因果检验,证实了我国投资拉动型的经济增长模式,同时也发现经济增长不是货币供应的原因,但是反向却存在因果关系。并据此对我国银行信贷和货币供应提出相应的政策建议。

The Relationship Model of Bank Credit, Money Supply and Economic Growth

A short-term equation and a long-term equation have been established to discuss the relationship among bank credit, money supply and economic growth. Then the investment-push economic growth model has been proved by the Granger causality test. At the same time, it is found that economic growth is not the reason of monetary supply growth, however, the reverse is somewhat making sense. At last, some political suggestions are provided.