| 中国出口驱动经济增长假说的实证检验 |
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| 引用本文： | 郭利红,李斌.中国出口驱动经济增长假说的实证检验[J].国际经贸探索,2004,20(1):14-15,37. |
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| 作者姓名： | 郭利红 李斌 |
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| 作者单位： | 湖南大学,经济与贸易学院,湖南,长沙,410079 |
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| 摘 要： | 在1980年至2002年的最新数据的基础上检验了出口驱动经济增长假说(ELG)在中国的情况，发现出口贸易与经济增长之间存在唯一协整关系，出口贸易对经济增长有直接的滞后影响，同时，经济增长能够通过短期波动失衡的调整，间接影响出口贸易。
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| 关 键 词： | 出口贸易 经济增长 协整检验 因果检验 |
| 文章编号： | 1002-0594(2004)01-0014-02 |
A Positive Test on Export-Oriented Economic Augment Hypothesis |
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| GUO Li-hong&Li Bin.A Positive Test on Export-Oriented Economic Augment Hypothesis[J].International Economics and Trade Research,2004,20(1):14-15,37. |
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| Authors: | GUO Li-hong&Li Bin |
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| Abstract: | The paper aims to make a positive examination of the correctitude of the export-oriented augment hypothesis in China by co-integration techniques and Granger-causality test.It finds out that there exists a sole co-integration relationship between GDP and exports while exports exert a direct and lagging effect on GDP,which,meanwhile,has an indirect effect on exports by the way of short unbalanced fluctuation. |
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| Keywords: | export trade economic growth co-integration Granger-causality test |
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