| 中国涤纶产业链均衡发展的协整性分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 沈亚萍,顾庆良. 中国涤纶产业链均衡发展的协整性分析[J]. 经济研究导刊, 2011, 0(28): 206-208,224 |
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| 作者姓名： | 沈亚萍 顾庆良 |
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| 作者单位： | 东华大学,上海200051 |
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| 摘 要： | 根据协整理论，利用中国1984--2009年的涤纶产业数据对中国涤纶产业链的均衡发展进行协整分析，主要包括对PTA年产量与涤纶年产量、涤纶年产量与纺织服装净出口额以及这三者之间的协整性进行了检验，并建立了它们之间的误差修正模型。协整检验表明，直接上下游之间存在协整关系；上中下游企业间存在长期协整关系，整个产业链均衡发展。
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| 关 键 词： | 涤纶产业链 协整 E—G检验 |
Cointegration Analysis of the Balanced Development of China Polyester Industrial Chain |
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| SEHN Ya-ping,GU Qing-liang. Cointegration Analysis of the Balanced Development of China Polyester Industrial Chain[J]. Economic Research Guide, 2011, 0(28): 206-208,224 |
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| Authors: | SEHN Ya-ping GU Qing-liang |
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| Affiliation: | ( Donghua University, Shanghai 200051, China) |
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| Abstract: | Based on Cointegration Theory and the data of the China Polyester Industry from 1984 to 2009,it analyzes the cointegration of China Polyester industrial chain,including PTA annual production, polyester annual production and Net exports of textile and apparel, then it builds an error-correction model.Cointegration test shows a cointegration relationship between up and downstream;there exists a long term cointegration relationship between up, middle and downstream firms, the entire supply chain has a balanced development. |
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| Keywords: | polyester rindustrial chain cointegration EG cointegration test |
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