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Analysis of a change-point regression problem in quality control by partial sums processes and Kolmogorov type tests
Authors:Wolfgang Bischoff  Enkelejd Hashorva  Jürg Hüsler  Frank Miller
Institution:(1) Mathematisch-Geographische Fakultät, Katholische Universität Eichstätt-Ingolstadt, Ostenstr 26, D-85071 Eichstätt, Germany;(2) Institut für Mathematische Statistik und Versicherungslehre, Universität Bern, Sidlerstr 2, CH-3012 Bern, Switzerland;(3) Institut für Mathematische Stochastik, Universität Karlsruhe, Englerstr 2, D-76128 Karlsruhe, Germany
Abstract:In practice, it is an important problem (especially in quality control) to secure that a known regression function occurs during a certain period in time. In the present paper, we consider the change-point problem that under the null hypothesis this known regression function occurs. As alternative, we consider a certain non-parametric class of functions that is of particular interest in quality control. We analyze this test problem by using partial sums of the data. Asymptotically, we get Brownian motion and Brownian motion with trend (≠0) under the hypothesis and under the alternative, respectively. We prove that tests based on partial sums have a larger power when the partial sums are taken from the time reversed data. This can be quantitatively determined in an asymptotic way by some new results on Kolmogorov type tests for Brownian motion with trend. We illustrate our results by a certain model that is interesting in quality control and by an example with real data.Supported in part by the Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft Grant Bi655.Supported in part by the Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft Grant Bi655 and by the Swiss National Science Foundation Grant 20-55586.98.
Keywords:Primary 60G70  62G10  62G32  62M02  secondary 60F10  60G15  62J05
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