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Regional consumption dynamics and risk sharing in Italy
Authors:Giuseppe Cavaliere   Luca Fanelli  Attilio Gardini
Affiliation:aUniversity of Bologna, Department of Statistical Sciences, via Belle Arti, 41 I-40126 Bologna, Italy
Abstract:In this paper, we propose a new method for investigating consumption insurance. Differently from the existing literature, we use error correcting VAR models in order to capture simultaneously the occurrence of risk sharing against permanent and transitory shocks. The proposed method is applied to the case of Italian regions. Empirical results obtained over the 1960–2001 period reveal that contrary to previous findings, Italian regions seem to shield against permanent shocks other than transitory ones. Although some biases are detected in the allocation process of resources, deviations from full consumption insurance are not as relevant as claimed in the previous literature on the Italian regions.
Keywords:Regional risk sharing   Consumption dynamics   Vector error correction model
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