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基于GM(1.1)模型的出国留学人数预测研究
引用本文:柯普,吴广.基于GM(1.1)模型的出国留学人数预测研究[J].价值工程,2012,31(25):318-319.
作者姓名:柯普  吴广
作者单位:武汉理工大学,武汉,430070
摘    要:基于有限的出国留学人数的数据,利用GM(1.1)模型建立了我国出国留学人数的预测模型。结果表明,模型的预测精度等级为好。预测结果为国家有关部门掌握出国留学的趋势,制定有关政策提供了辅助决策依据。

关 键 词:出国留学人数预测  GM(1.1)  模型误差检验

Study on Prediction of the Number of Study Abroad Based on GM (1.1) Model
KE Pu , WU Guang.Study on Prediction of the Number of Study Abroad Based on GM (1.1) Model[J].Value Engineering,2012,31(25):318-319.
Authors:KE Pu  WU Guang
Institution:KE Pu;WU Guang(Wuhan University of Technology,Wuhan 430070,China)
Abstract:Based on the limited data on the number of study abroad,the paper used GM(1.1) model to establish prediction model of the number of Chinese studying abroad.The results show that the accuracy level of prediction model is good.Forecast results provide secondary decision-making for the national departments grasping the trend of studying abroad and developing policies.
Keywords:prediction of the number of study abroad  GM(1  1)  model error test
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