农村金融发展与经济增长的关联性分析：以安徽省为例

本文基于帕加诺AK内生增长理论模型，利用安徽省1978-2009年的时间序列数据，通过建立VEC模型和脉冲响应函数对安徽省农村金融发展与经济增长之间的作用机理进行实证研究。研究表明，金融相关率（FIR）、农村资本边际生产率与农村经济增长呈现长期稳定的正向关系，而储蓄率与经济增长之间呈现反向关系；此外，变量之间短期动态关系与长期均衡关系并不完全一致。

The Analysis of the Linkage about Rural Financial Development and Rural Economic Growth in Anhui Province

Based on the model of Pagano AK naisei growth theory, this article conducts empirical studies on the mechanism between the rural financial development and economic growth in Anhui province by establishing VEC model and impulse responses function, using the data composition of Anhui province during 1978~2009. Research conclusion shows that there is long-term stable positive relationship between financial interrelations ratio, rural capital marginal productivity and rural economic growth ,and reverse relationship between saving ratio and economic growth. Moreover, the short-term dynamic relationship and long-term equilibrium relationship between the variables are not entirely consistent.