建筑业全要素生产率增长与区域经济增长的耦合效应分析

采用随机边界分析方法测算了1997—2009年省际建筑业全要素生产率(TFP)增长水平,并进行了区域差异化比较;然后借鉴物理学的耦合度理论,构建建筑业TFP增长与区域经济增长的耦合效应模型,并进行了实证检验;采用灰色关联分析方法遴选出二者耦合效应的主要影响因素,最后对建筑业经济增长方式和阶段进行了研判。研究表明:区域建筑业TFP增长存在较大差异,依据其增长率大小将31个地区划分为负增长、低增长、中增长和高增长四种类型;二者的耦合程度较高而耦合协调度较低;约束建筑业TFP增长的主要因素是地区的GDP水平,判断中国区域建筑业的经济增长仍属于粗放型增长方式和资本经济阶段。

Coupling Effect Analysis between Total Factors Productivity Growth of Construction Industry and Regional Economic Development

The paper first calculates the Total Factors Productivity(TFP) growth of the provincial construction industry from 1997 to 2009 based on stochastic frontier production function model and compares the regional differences;then by referencing the physics coupling function,measures coupling coordinative degree of regional economic development and TFP growth of construction industry;using the grey relational analysis method to choose the main influence factors of coupling effect between them and judging the growth mode and phases at last.The results show that TFP growth differences among regions are big,and the 31 provinces are divided into negative growth,low growth,middle growth and high growth four types;the coupling degree was high but the coupling coordinative degree was low between regional economic development and TFP growth of construction industry;the main factors that restrict the TFP growth were the level of GDP,we can judge that the regional economic growth of construction industry remains extensive mode and capital economy phase at present.