基于SPA的广东省区域经济脆弱性及障碍因素研究

运用集对分析法（SPA）从经济敏感性和应对性角度对广东省21个地级市经济脆弱性进行测度。研究表明：珠三角地区普遍具有较高应对性,但敏感性差别较大,其中深圳、中山、佛山因敏感性较低,经济表现出低脆弱性,而广州、东莞和珠海因敏感性较高,落入中等脆弱性区域。从广东欠发达地区看,东西两翼处于中等及较高脆弱性区域;山区普遍具有高敏感性和低应对性,其经济脆弱性最高。根据障碍因素分析,珠三角最主要障碍因素有R＆D经费/GDP、劳动生产率、消费率等,欠发达地区主要障碍因素是人均GDP、财政收入/GDP等。

The Analysis of Regional Economic Vulnerability and Obstacle Factors of Guangdong Province Based on Set Pair Analysis

The paper applies Entropy Method and Set Pair Analysis to estimate the economic vulnerability of 21 cities in Guangdong Province.The research results show that: The cities in Pearl River Delta region generally have higher resilience,but their sensitivity are very different.The economic vulnerability of Shenzhen,Zhongshan,Foshan are low because of their low sensitivity,while Guangzhou,Dongguan and Zhuhai fall into medium extent of economic vulnerability for their higher sensitivity.In less developed regions,the eastern and western regions are in medium and high extent of economic vulnerability.The cities in mountain area are the most vulnerable cities because of their high sensitivity and low resilience.According to the factor analysis of obstacle degree,R&D spending,labor productivity and consumption rate are the main obstacles to reduce vulnerability in the Pearl River Delta regions,while GDP per capita and fiscal revenue/GDP are the main obstacles in the less developed areas.