| 江苏省固定资产投资与经济增长关系的实证分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 周腾, 杨煜.江苏省固定资产投资与经济增长关系的实证分析[J].华东经济管理,2007,21(10):8-11. |
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| 作者姓名： | 周腾 杨煜 |
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| 作者单位： | 东南大学,经济管理学院,江苏,南京,211189 |
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| 摘 要： | 文章利用计量经济学方法,对江苏省1985-2005年的GDP及固定资产投资两时间序列数据进行了协整关系检验、误差修正模型(ECM)分析以及Granger因果检验.结果表明:江苏省的固定资产投资对经济增长有很大的拉动作用,在短期内固定资产投资增加1个百分点,GDP约增加0.81个百分点,并且二者之间还存在着长期稳定关系和双向的因果关系,在此基础上本文提出一些有针对性的建议.
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| 关 键 词： | 固定资产投资 经济增长 协整 ECM Granger因果检验 |
| 文章编号： | 1007-5097（2007）10-0008-04 |
| 收稿时间： | 2007-01-23 |
| 修稿时间： | 2007-01-23 |
Positive Analysis on the Relationship between Fixed Asset Investment and Economic Growth of Jiangsu Province |
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| ZHOU Teng; YANG Yu.Positive Analysis on the Relationship between Fixed Asset Investment and Economic Growth of Jiangsu Province[J].East China Economic Management,2007,21(10):8-11. |
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| Authors: | ZHOU Teng; YANG Yu |
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| Institution: | School of Economics and Management; Southeast University; Nanjing 211189; China |
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| Abstract: | Econometric methods were applied in this paper to study the time series of GDP and fixed asset investment from the year 1985 to 2005 in Jiangsu province,by testing the Co-integration relations,ECM and Granger Causality.The results concluded that the fixed asset investment had a significant effect in propelling economic growth of Jiangsu.Each percent increasing in fixed asset investment would make GDP increased by 0.81 percent,and they have a long-term stable relation and bipartite causality.Some correspondi... |
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| Keywords: | fixed asset investment economic growth Co-integration ECM Granger Causality |
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