京津冀能源强度的空间特征及供给侧降耗路径研究

基于2011—2016年京津冀13个市的面板数据,利用探索性空间数据分析方法研究了京津冀能源强度的空间分布特征,结果表明:京津冀市域能源强度的局部空间分布的相似性和差异性并存且不稳定,使得京津冀能源强度在整体上没有表现出显著的空间相关性。在此基础上,从要素、产业、制度等三个层面提炼能源强度的供给侧因素,并构建了固定效应回归模型,结果表明:能源强度与产业结构、技术进步、产权安排呈显著的正相关关系,与投资、政府调控呈显著的负相关关系。

Study on Spatial Characteristics of Energy Intensity and Supply-side Path of Consumption Reduction in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei

Based on the panel data of 13 cities in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei in 2011-2016, this paper summarizes the spatial distribution characteristics of energy intensity by using exploratory spatial data analysis method. Result shows that the similarity and difference of local spatial distribution of energy intensity in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei co-exist and are not stable, which makes the energy intensity not show no significant spatial correlation on the whole. Then, the fixed effect regression model of energy intensity and industrial structure, technological progress, investment, government regulation and property right arrangement is constructed. And the result demonstrates that energy intensity has a significant positive correlation with industrial structure, technological progress and property rights arrangement, while a significant negative correlation with investment and government regulation.