Risk measures for variable annuities: A hermite series expansion approach |
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Affiliation: | School of Business, Stevens Institute of Technology, Hoboken, NJ 07030, USA;Haas School of Business, University of California, Berkeley, CA 94720, USA;School of Commerce, University of South Australia, Adelaide, South Australia 5000, Australia;Lingnan (University) College, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou 510275, China |
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Abstract: | In this study, we propose an efficient approach to the calculation of risk measures for an insurer's liability from writing a variable annuity with guaranteed benefits. Our approach is based on a novel application of the Hermite series expansions on the transition density of a diffusion process to the insurance setting. We compare our method with existing methods in the literature, including the analytical method, spectral method and Green's function method, and illustrate its substantial advantages in calculating risk measures for variable annuities with different guarantee structures. The improved efficiency makes our method flexible to practical implementation in reporting risk measures on a daily basis. We also conduct a sensitivity analysis of the risk measures with respect to key parameters. |
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Keywords: | Variable annuity Guaranteed minimum maturity benefit Guaranteed minimum death benefit Value-at-Risk Conditional-tail-expectation G22 G32 |
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