中日制造业产业内贸易发展态势的实证研究

本文采用SITC5分位数据,对1992-2002年间中日制造业产业内贸易发展态势进行了实证分析。研究结果表明,中日贸易结构仍然呈现出以产业间贸易为主的格局,但制造业产业内贸易比重正逐渐上升。中日制造业产业内贸易类型细分呈现出以低质量产业内贸易为主、高质量产业内贸易次之、水平型产业内贸易比重最低的格局。中日制造业低质量产业内贸易呈逐年上升态势,中国在促进产业结构升级、培育人力资本要素方面面临着艰巨的任务。

Positive Research on the Development Situation of the Intra-lndustry Trade in Manufacturing Industries between China and Japan

This Paper makes a positive analysis on the development situation of the intra-industry trade in manufacturing industries between China and Japan during the period from 1992 to 2002 , according to the data of SITC classification at a five-digit level. The result shows that inter-industry trade is still the main pattern of the trade structure between China and Japan. However, the proportion of intra-industry trade in manufacturing industries is gradually rising. The pattern of intra-industry trade between China and Japan presents the situation of giving the first place to intra-industry trade of low quality, the second place to that of high quality, and the last place to horizontal intra-industry trade. The proportion of intra-industry trade of low quality in manufacturing industries between China and Japan is rising year after year. China is still facing the hard task of promoting the upgrade of industry structure and fostering the factor of human capital.