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上海市社区居家养老服务发展的背景、需求趋势及其思考
引用本文:周元鹏,张抚秀. 上海市社区居家养老服务发展的背景、需求趋势及其思考[J]. 经济学(季刊), 2012, 0(2): 82-90
作者姓名:周元鹏  张抚秀
作者单位:华东师范大学 社会发展学院 上海 200241;华东师范大学 社会发展学院 上海 200241
摘    要:分析了上海市发展居家养老服务的人口、社会经济背景,梳理了上海市居家养老服务试点推广的历程和政策措施,以厘清上海市发展居家养老服务的思路。预测了未来上海市居家养老服务需求的变动趋势。居家养老是在家庭养老基础上发展起来、适应人口老龄化和家庭结构变迁的新型社会化养老模式,它有效整合了政府、社会、家庭的养老资源,满足了老年人个性化的需要。

关 键 词:需求预测  居家养老服务  老龄事业  上海

The Analysis of Current Backgrounds, Demand Trends of Shanghai Community Home-based Care Service
ZHOU Yuan-peng and ZHANG Fu-xiu. The Analysis of Current Backgrounds, Demand Trends of Shanghai Community Home-based Care Service[J]. China Economic Quarterly, 2012, 0(2): 82-90
Authors:ZHOU Yuan-peng and ZHANG Fu-xiu
Affiliation:Population Research Institute,East China Normal University,Shanghai 200241,China;Population Research Institute,East China Normal University,Shanghai 200241,China
Abstract:In this paper,the demographic and socioeconomic environment of Shanghai s home-based care service is analyzed firstly By investigating into the development history and policy of Shanghai's home care service,this paper makes an attempt to give a direction for the development of Shanghai s home-based care serve. And then a prediction is made for the Shanghai s future demand and dynamic trend of the home-based care service. The results show that home-based care service is a new socialization mode developed from family support for the elder,adapting to the population ageing and family structure change. With an aggregation of government ,society and family resources,it is able to satisfy personalized need for the elder.
Keywords:demand forecasting  home-based care services  the cause of ageing  Shanghai
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