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Funding Status Projections for Southern Public Teaching Pension Plans
Authors:Jr" target="_blank">William J TrainorJr  Carolyn F Rochelle
Institution:(1) Department of Economics and Finance, East Tennessee State University, P.O. Box 70686, Johnson City, 37614-1709, USA
Abstract:The average funding status for eleven southern state pension plans used by teachers as of 2005 is 86%, which translates into over a $40 billion shortfall. Employing Monte Carlo simulation, this study projects the expected future funding status along with confidence intervals for each of these states over the next 10 years. Projections suggest the average underfunding will remain virtually the same based on current state pension contributions and asset allocations. However, if underlying pension asset returns fail to meet expectations due to high funding risk, the average underfunding could fall to 73%, a shortfall of over $150 billion.
Contact Information William J. Trainor Jr.Email:
Keywords:Funding status–  pension plans  Funding projections–  pension plans
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