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GM(1,1)模型在航材消耗预测中的应用
引用本文:李卫灵,史玉敏,郭星香,张力. GM(1,1)模型在航材消耗预测中的应用[J]. 价值工程, 2011, 30(22): 18-19
作者姓名:李卫灵  史玉敏  郭星香  张力
作者单位:1. 海军航空工程学院青岛分院,青岛,266041
2. 中国人民解放军92367部队,青岛,266041
摘    要:传统的预测方法很难对部分消耗数据少、影响因素不明确的航材进行准确预测。运用灰色GM(1,1)模型,可以对"小样本"、贫信息"这类航材进行更为准确的消耗预测。

关 键 词:航材  消耗预测  GM(1,1)模型

Application of GM(1,1) Model in the Aircraft Spare Parts Consumption Forecasting
Li Weiling,Shi Yumin,Guo Xingxiang,Zhang Li. Application of GM(1,1) Model in the Aircraft Spare Parts Consumption Forecasting[J]. Value Engineering, 2011, 30(22): 18-19
Authors:Li Weiling  Shi Yumin  Guo Xingxiang  Zhang Li
Affiliation:Li Weiling;Shi Yumin;Guo Xingxiang;Zhang Li(①Qingdao Branch,Naval Aerial Engineering Institute,Qingdao 266041,China; ②The Chinese People’s Liberation Army 92367 Units,Qingdao 266041,China)
Abstract:A GM(1,1) Model can be used in the aircraft spare parts consumption forecasting with little consumption data and uncertain influence factors,which can not be forecasted well and truly by conditional forecasting method.
Keywords:aircraft spare part  consumption forecasting  GM(1  1)model  
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