| 协整分析与误差修正模型--从增长率看民营企业进出口对我国经济增长的影响 |
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| 引用本文： | 何莉. 协整分析与误差修正模型--从增长率看民营企业进出口对我国经济增长的影响[J]. 经济经纬, 2006, 0(3): 108-110 |
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| 作者姓名： | 何莉 |
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| 作者单位： | 浙江大学,经济学院,浙江,杭州,310027;湖南商学院,经济学系,湖南,长沙,410001 |
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| 摘 要： | 作者在计算民营企业净出口对我国经济增长的贡献度和贡献率,以及对1994年-2005年民营企业进、出口和我国 GDP数据进行协整分析的基础上,根据格兰杰定理运用EG两步法建立三者间的误差修正模型。实证分析表明从增长率的角度来看,民营企业进、出口对我国经济增长的促进作用非常显著。
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| 关 键 词： | 民营企业 对外贸易 经济增长 协整检验 误差修正模型 |
| 文章编号： | 1006-1096（2006）03-0108-03 |
| 收稿时间： | 2006-01-24 |
| 修稿时间： | 2006-01-24 |
Co-integration Analysis and Error Correction Model--the Effect of CPEs' Imports and Exports on China's Economic Growth Seen from Growth Rate |
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| HE Li. Co-integration Analysis and Error Correction Model--the Effect of CPEs' Imports and Exports on China's Economic Growth Seen from Growth Rate[J]. Economic Survey, 2006, 0(3): 108-110 |
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| Authors: | HE Li |
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| Affiliation: | 1. College of Economics, Zhejiang university, Hangzhou 310027, China ; 2. Economics Department, Hunan Business College, Changsha 410001, China |
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| Abstract: | The author first calculates the contribution extent and ratio of CPEs'net export to China's economic growth, then makes a co -integration analysis of the data of the imports and exports of CPEs and the GDP of our country in 1994 - 2005, and on the basis of Granger Theorem and EC two -step method constructs the error correction model. The empirical analysis indicates that from the viewpoint of growth rate the CPEs'imports and exports have obviously promoted China's economic growth. |
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| Keywords: | CPE exterior trade economic growth co - integration test error correction model |
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