| 第四代技术展望 |
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| 引用本文： | 金周英.第四代技术展望[J].国际技术经济研究,2002,5(1):18-25. |
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| 作者姓名： | 金周英 |
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| 作者单位： | 中国社会科学院、数量经济技术经济研究所 |
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| 摘 要： | 随着技术与经济全球化，技术预测的合理性，有效性和可操作性等问题再一次提到议事日程上来。本文提出了一种在广义技术创新框架之下，社会，经济，环境的多层次上，硬技术与软技术并重的第四代技术展望理论。
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| 关 键 词： | 发展中国家 技术预测 软技术 第四代技术 技术驱动力 远景 |
| 修稿时间： | 2001年12月10 |
The 4th Generation of Technology Foresight |
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| Jin Zhouying.The 4th Generation of Technology Foresight[J].Studies in International Technology and Economy,2002,5(1):18-25. |
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| Authors: | Jin Zhouying |
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| Abstract: | Along with the strength of the trend of economic and S&T globalization, issues of the rationality, effectivity and operability of technology forecast have been again raised to the agenda. In this paper, the author proposes the 4th generation of technology foresight under the framework of broad technological innovation system, in which soft technology & hard technology are equally stressed, and multi-dimension of the society, economy and environment will be enhanced. |
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| Keywords: | technology forecast the 3rd generation of technology foresight the 4th generation of technology forestight |
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