| 中国-欧盟木质林产品贸易影响因素的实证分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 郑洁,时小琳,戴永务. 中国-欧盟木质林产品贸易影响因素的实证分析[J]. 林业经济问题, 2014, 34(3) |
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| 作者姓名： | 郑洁 时小琳 戴永务 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 福建农林大学经济学院,福州,350002
2. 福建农林大学管理学院,福州,350002 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家社会科学基金项目，国家自然科学基金青年项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 基于UNcomtrade数据库整理的数据,分析中国与欧盟木质林产品贸易状况,利用扩展的引力模型识别中国与欧盟木质林产品贸易的关键影响因素。研究结果表明:中国与欧盟木质林产品贸易在20002008年间处于增长阶段;但2008年受全球金融危机的不利影响,中国出口所占比例持续下降,贸易顺差呈缩小趋势,市场集中度与产品集中度均较高;国内生产总值、森林资源禀赋差异、劳动力资源禀赋差异、欧盟东扩及海岸线等因素对中国与欧盟木质林产品贸易具有显著的促进作用,而相对距离、汇率、金融危机等因素却起着显著的抑制作用。
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| 关 键 词： | 中国-欧盟 引力模型 木质林产品 贸易 影响因素 |
Empirical Analysis on Influence Factors of China's Wood Forest Products Trade with EU |
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| ZHENG Jie,SHI Xiao-lin,DAI Yong-wu. Empirical Analysis on Influence Factors of China's Wood Forest Products Trade with EU[J]. Problems of Forestry Economics, 2014, 34(3) |
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| Authors: | ZHENG Jie SHI Xiao-lin DAI Yong-wu |
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| Affiliation: | ,School of Economics,Fujian Agriculture and Forestry University,School of Management,Fujian Agriculture and Forestry University |
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| Abstract: | The results,analyzed the influence factors of China's wood forest products trade with EU by expanded gravity model and analyzed the status of wood forest products trade of China-EU by using the related data from UNcomtrade database to,shows that the trade of wood forest products is in the growth stage from 2000 to 2008,but adversely affected by the global financial crisis in 2008,the proportion of export continues to decline,the trade surplus is narrowing trend and market concentration and product concentration are high. The China's wood forest products trade with EU were significantly promoted by GDP, forest resources endowments, labor resources endowments, EU enlargement,coast etc,but were significantly inhibited by relative distance,exchange rate,the financial crisis etc. |
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| Keywords: | China-EU Gravity model wood forest products trade influence factors |
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