影响国债发行规模因素的主成分分析

运用主成分分析法对影响国债发行规模的因素进行了分析,结果表明,国债发行规模与经济增长、证券市场的发展呈正相关,与居民消费物价指数呈负相关,与国际贸易顺差、城乡居民储蓄年末余额和流通中的货币量成正比。

Principal Components Analysis on the Factors Influencing the Scale of Bond

Using the principle component method,this paper analyzes the factors which have influenced on the scale of bonds-issuing.The results show that,the scale of bond-issuing have positive relationship with the economic growth,and the development of capital market,and have negative relationship with CPI,and is in direct proportion to the international trade surplus,savings of urban and rural residents by the end of the balance and the amount of money in circulation.