森林资源资产组合随机控制模型及决策

在界定了森林生态资产与森林资源资产组合概念的基础上,构建和模拟了基于随机控制理论的森林资源资产组合模型,为森林经营管理者提出了相应的结论和建议:森林经营管理者可以根据最优采伐量与木材价格、补偿价格、成本系数、税率、贴现率、生长率等参数之间的关系,获得在市场经济变动条件下的最优森林资产组合,以保证森林资产净收益的稳定增长。

The Forest Resource Asset Portfolio Stochastic Control Model and Strategic Decisions

On the basis of defined concepts of the forest ecological assets and the forest resources assets portfolio,constructed and simulated the model of forest resource asset portfolio,based on the theory of stochastic control. For forest management puts forward the corresponding conclusions and recommendations that the forest management managers can get the optimal forest portfolio under the conditions changes in a market economy,across the relations of the parameters between the optimal cutting volume and lumber price,compensation,cost factor,rate,discount rate,growth rate and so on,to ensure the stability of forest assets net earnings growth.