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Flight-to-liquidity: Evidence from China's stock market
Institution:1. School of Securities and Futures, Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, Chengdu 611130, China;2. Peking University HSBC Business School, Shenzhen 518055, China;1. Cardiff Business School, Cardiff University, CF10 3EU, UK;2. School of Economics, Finance and Management, University of Bristol, Bristol BS8 1TU, UK;3. Accounting, Economics and Finance, Cardiff School of Management, Cardiff Metropolitan University, CF5 2YB, UK;1. Department of Finance, Waikato Management School, University of Waikato, Hamilton, New Zealand;2. Department of Finance, Zhongnan University of Economics and Law, #182 Nanhu Ave., Wuhan 430073 PR China;3. School of Economics and Finance, Massey Business School, Massey University – Albany Campus, Auckland, New Zealand
Abstract:In an order-driven and strictly regulated stock market, illiquidity risks' effects on asset pricing should be highlighted, particularly in such extreme market conditions as those in China. This paper utilizes panel data from China's stock market in an attempt to answer whether the illiquidity risk in various dimensions—including price impacts, the transaction speed, trading volume, transaction costs, and asymmetric information—can explain stock returns. We find that almost all dimensions of stock illiquidity are positively associated with excess stock returns. More importantly, smaller, less-liquid stocks suffer more liquidity costs, providing a strong evidence for “flight-to-liquidity.” Additionally, the transaction costs and asymmetric information, denoted by bid-ask spreads, robustly account for these illiquidity effects on stock pricing and differ from the findings in the U.S. market. We also find that the “flight-to-liquidity” can partially explain the idiosyncratic volatility puzzle, investors' gambling, and herding psychologies. This study provides substantial policy implications in regulation and portfolio management for emerging markets.
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