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The exploratory analysis of trade-offs in strategic planning: Lessons from Regional Infrastructure Foresight
Authors:E Störmer [Author Vitae]  B Truffer [Author Vitae] [Author Vitae]  W Gujer [Author Vitae]  A Herlyn [Author Vitae] [Author Vitae]  H Kastenholz [Author Vitae] [Author Vitae]  J Markard [Author Vitae] [Author Vitae]  A Ruef [Author Vitae]
Institution:a Department Innovation Research in Utility Sectors at the Swiss Federal Institute of Aquatic Science and Technology (Eawag), Switzerland
b Department Urban Water Management Research at Eawag, Switzerland
c Institute of environmental Engineering at ETH Zurich, Switzerland
d Competence Center Sustainability and Infrastructure Systems at the German Fraunhofer Institute for Systems and Innovation Research ISI, Germany
e Technology and Society Unit of the Swiss Federal Institute of Materials Science and Technology (Empa), Switzerland
Abstract:The sustainable transformation of infrastructure sectors represents a challenge of prime importance worldwide. Due to long life times of infrastructures, strategic decision making has to explicitly consider uncertainties in context conditions, value considerations and available technological alternatives. However currently, strategic infrastructure planning is often carried out in a very narrow perspective. The present paper argues that foresight informed strategic planning, allows addressing trade-offs related to context uncertainties, value conflicts and sustainability deficits in a structured way. The paper introduces a specific procedural proposal, the Regional Infrastructure Foresight method (RIF) and illustrates its potential virtues through an application to urban water management planning in a Swiss region (Kiesental).
Keywords:Regional foresight  Strategic planning  Participation  Infrastructure
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