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我国就业结构与外资的Geweke因果关系分解检验
引用本文:高远东,陈迅.我国就业结构与外资的Geweke因果关系分解检验[J].商业经济与管理,2010(3).
作者姓名:高远东  陈迅
作者单位:重庆大学,经济与工商管理学院,重庆,400030
基金项目:国家公派留学基金项目 
摘    要:文章运用Geweke因果关系分解检验和协整理论,研究了1983-2006年间我国就业结构变动与实际利用外资间的长期和即时因果关系,以及外资对各产业内部就业比重变动的作用.结果表明:外资对我国就业结构变动具有单向因果关系,而就业结构变动对外资的影响不显著;其中,外资对第一产业就业比重存在负向影响,对二、三产业就业比重则具有正向影响;此外,第三产业的就业比重变动和外资闻存在即时因果关系,二者的变动具有一定程度的同步性.

关 键 词:外商投资  Geweke因果分解检验  协整检验  动态最小二乘法

The Geweke Decomposition Test of the Relationship between Foreign Investment and Employment Structure in China
GAO Yuan-dong,CHEN Xun.The Geweke Decomposition Test of the Relationship between Foreign Investment and Employment Structure in China[J].Business Economics and Administration,2010(3).
Authors:GAO Yuan-dong  CHEN Xun
Institution:GAO Yuan-dong,CHEN Xun(College of Economics , Business Administration,Chongqing University,Chongqing 400030,China)
Abstract:This paper uses the Geweke decomposition test and cointegration theory to empirically study the long-run and instantaneous causal relation between employment structure and foreign investment,and to investigate the effect of foreign investment on the employment structure within each industry.The results are as following:There is a unidirectional causality running from foreign investment to the adjustment of employment structure;foreign investment has a positive impact on the employment proportion of the seco...
Keywords:foreign investment  Geweke decomposition test  cointegration test  DLS  
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