| 滞后效应、多重均衡与反向软着陆:中国需求管理经验 |
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| 引用本文： | 郑超愚. 滞后效应、多重均衡与反向软着陆:中国需求管理经验[J]. 金融研究, 2009, 0(4) |
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| 作者姓名： | 郑超愚 |
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| 作者单位： | 中国人民大学经济学院; |
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| 摘 要： | 本文初步探索本次经济扩张时期中国需求管理经验的宏观经济学意义。中国经济的准AK增长模型与制造期投资模型,使得实际经济增长具有投资驱动特征而实际国民收入具有滞后效应。面临容纳滞后效应的修正形式中国菲利普斯曲线,保守型需求管理政策形成多重国民收入均衡状态,而进取型需求管理政策形成单一国民收入均衡状态,并且能够通过微撞操作而实现中国经济均衡调整的反向软着陆。
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| 关 键 词： | 中国经济 滞后效应 多重均衡 反向软着陆 |
On the Hysteresis,Multiple Equilibria and Reverse Soft-landing:China's Experience of Demand Management |
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| ZHENG Chaoyu. On the Hysteresis,Multiple Equilibria and Reverse Soft-landing:China's Experience of Demand Management[J]. Journal of Financial Research, 2009, 0(4) |
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| Authors: | ZHENG Chaoyu |
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| Affiliation: | ZHENG Chaoyu |
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| Abstract: | By modeling the decision-making of demand management,this paper attempted to explore the implication of China's experience in its expansionary phase since 2003 for macroeconomics.For China's economy, quasi-AK growth and vintage investment model were built so that economic growth was driven by capital accumulation and actual national income exerted hysteresis,and then Phillips curve was formed with hysteresis accommodated. In combination with the refined Phillips curve,while conservative demand management re... |
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| Keywords: | China's economy hysteresis multiple equilibria reverse Soft-landing |
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